Daily Gold Market Analysis – February 3, 2025

Gold Price Outlook: Bulls Face Key Resistance at $2,800

Gold prices have shown a strong recovery after dipping to $2,770, bouncing back to test the $2,800 resistance level. With market sentiment hinging on upcoming economic data, traders should prepare for heightened volatility.

Market Overview

  • Current Price: $2,798
  • Recent Trend: Strong bullish recovery after testing support at $2,770

Key Resistance and Support Levels

Resistance Levels

  • $2,800 – A major psychological and technical resistance. If gold sustains above this level, further upside movement is expected.
  • $2,810-$2,815 – The next resistance zone, where selling pressure may emerge.

Support Levels

  • $2,770 – A previously tested support level; breaking below could signal bearish continuation.
  • $2,748 – The next critical support area if selling momentum strengthens.

News Impact: ISM Manufacturing PMI Release

Today’s key economic event is the ISM Manufacturing PMI, which could significantly influence gold prices.

Expected Market Impact

  • Stronger PMI → A robust PMI reading could strengthen the U.S. dollar (USD), applying downward pressure on gold.
  • Weaker PMI → A lower-than-expected PMI may signal an economic slowdown, increasing safe-haven demand for gold and pushing prices higher.

Market Expectations

  • If PMI exceeds expectations → Gold may reject $2,800 and turn bearish.
  • If PMI falls below expectations → Gold could break past $2,800 and target the $2,810-$2,815 resistance zone.

Trade Plan for Today

Bullish Scenario (If Gold Holds Above $2,800)

  • Entry: Above $2,800
  • Stop Loss: Below $2,788
  • Take Profit: $2,810-$2,815

Bearish Scenario (If Gold Rejects $2,800 Resistance)

  • Entry: Below $2,800
  • Stop Loss: Above $2,805
  • Take Profit: $2,770, extended to $2,748 if selling pressure increases.

Trade Type

  • Short-Term Scalps: Monitor rejection or breakout near $2,800.
  • Intraday Positioning: Await PMI data for confirmation before taking longer-term positions.

Conclusion

Gold is trading at a pivotal level near $2,800, and today’s ISM Manufacturing PMI data will be the key catalyst in determining its next move. Traders should anticipate volatility and adjust their strategies accordingly. Stay alert for market reactions around news time! 🚀